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Card-Linked Offers and MMM: Getting the Real Story
Measurement of marketing efforts across channels is an essential part of understanding and analyzing performance. Cardlytics is proud to work with leading Media Mix Models to help our advertisers better understand results across their media mix, including the unique value of the Cardlytics platform.
Executive Summary
- Advertisers have increasingly used MMMs to better analyze the performance of their marketing efforts across channels, but continue to face some challenges with data.
- Measurement of card-linked offer (CLO) programs have also historically posed a challenge to MMMs.
- Cardlytics is working with leading marketing measurement experts to develop best practices for integrating Cardlytics campaign data into media mix models, helping our advertisers more accurately measure incremental impact of Cardlytics campaigns and the rest of their marketing program.
Media Mix Models and card-linked offers
For brand advertisers to truly understand and analyze the performance of their marketing efforts, measurement plays an essential role. Since it is not enough to analyze the performance of a single channel in isolation, advertisers lean on Media Mix Modeling (MMM) solutions to better understand the full picture of their marketing efforts, which channels are impacting their overall spend, and how to determine future budget allocation. MMMs have been especially beneficial for marketing analysis and reporting, marketing budget optimization, scenario planning, and performance tracking – but advertisers continue to face challenges with data quality, invalid or incomplete data inputs, and accounting for broader shifts in market economics.
Measuring the effectiveness of card-linked offer (CLO) programs, such as Cardlytics’ platform, have historically posed a challenge to MMMs. Because our platform shows digital ads within the walled environment of digital banking channels and measures performance through card-linked data from our banking partners, it has been difficult for advertisers to get an accurate view of CLO performance.
Integrating Cardlytics data with MMMs
To help our advertisers address these challenges with CLO measurement, we are excited to announce that Cardlytics will be working with leading MMMs, including Analytic Partners and Ipsos MMA. By integrating Cardlytics data into these models, we are able to help our advertisers, modelers and analysts better understand the unique value of our platform as part of the overall marketing mix.
Through a tailored training program with each MMM, we are working together to ensure that:
- Cardlytics data is properly incorporated into their models
- Modelers understand how Cardlytics and card-linked offers work, and how CLO campaigns are measured
- Data is interpreted appropriately and modelers are equipped with best practices for potential enhancements to their models (e.g., elevating lower-funnel metrics such as clicks and redemptions, rather than just ad impressions)
In addition to integrating into MMMs, Cardlytics continues to invest in our own Test vs. Control solution to demonstrate the incremental benefits of our platform.
Considerations for enhancing measurement
It’s important for advertisers to keep the following considerations in mind when thinking about CLO measurement with MMMs:
- Pay-for-performance advertising means that model relationships seen in other digital channels may not exist. Some models are better for upper-funnel media channels, which may not be appropriate for measuring the effectiveness of CLO campaigns.
- Our adstock and ability to provide campaign-level detail are unique, and provide full funnel visibility for deterministic customers, from impression to engagement to purchase.
- Supplementing with customer-level metrics (e.g., Cardlytics’ Test vs. Control analysis) can provide a more comprehensive picture of campaign effectiveness.
If you are interested in learning more or already partner with an MMM, reach out to your Cardlytics Account Manager or email mmm@cardlytics.com to discuss how we can help ensure your CLO program is being measured properly.
Insights Report: Redefining Customer Loyalty
Cardlytics has access to $4.7Tn in omni-channel annual card spend, powered by the largest financial institutions in the United States. We have sampled this rich dataset to provide a full-category view of spend that sheds insight on what it really means to be brand-loyal, and how marketers can redefine audiences to make informed, strategic decisions.
Redefining Customer Loyalty
Introduction
Brands of all sizes know that engaging loyal customers is critical to their business, but how do they know which customers are loyal? Most marketers use first party transaction data to assess how often their customers are shopping or how much they are spending in order to define who their loyal customers are. This approach can lead to an inaccurate view of loyalty because it overlooks whether these customers are spending with competing brands.
Cardlytics has access to $4.7Tn in omni-channel annual card spend, powered by the largest financial institutions in the United States. We have sampled this rich dataset to provide a full-category view of spend that sheds insight on what it really means to be brand-loyal, and how marketers can redefine audiences to make informed, strategic decisions.
Read on to explore the full report (or download it here) and reach out today to get a custom brand-level view of your business’ loyal customers in relation to the category.
Key Takeaways from the Report
Significant potential exists to grow revenue by boosting customer loyalty and increasing their share of wallet.
- 10% of customers are loyal, spending 62% of their budget with the merchant.
- 90% are not loyal, spending only 9% of their budget with the merchant.
- Brands could benefit from 6.9x customer spend by focusing on the 90% of non-loyal customers
Transaction frequency doesn't equate to loyalty.
- Only 50% of a merchant's top shoppers are loyal.
- 48% of a merchant's top shoppers spend 79% of their budget with competitors.
Customer Loyalty & Share of Wallet
Defining Customer Loyalty
Cardlytics defines customer loyalty based on a consumer’s preference for a merchant relative to the competition. In this report, we’ve sampled $160Bn of spend across six large categories to determine what percentage of a merchant’s customers are loyal and how much are those customers spending with the competition as compared to customers that are not loyal.
On average, 10% of a merchant’s customers are loyal (ranging from 5-13% depending on the category). Conversely, 90% of a merchant’s customers are not loyal, on average.
These loyal customers have a share of wallet of 62% (meaning 62% of their category spend is with the merchant). Not loyal customers have a share of wallet of only 9%.
1 Cardlytics applies the principles of the Wallet Allocation Rule to rank existing customers (that spent during the prior and current periods) based on their share of wallet (which is the percentage of a customer’s total spending in a category that goes to a particular merchant) to assess clear first choice based on the relative rank of that merchant. Full methodology included at the end of this report.
Top Customer Loyalty & Share of Wallet
Are Frequent Shoppers Loyal?
In the absence of competitive spend data, Marketers leverage transaction frequency to define loyalty (e.g., “the customers who shop the most frequently are my loyal customers”). Cardlytics isolated the top customers (most frequent purchasers), by merchant, to assess whether this is an appropriate proxy for loyalty. For this group of top customers, we analyzed what percentage of them are loyal (have a clear first choice for the merchant) and how much are they spending with the competition.
On average, only 52% of a merchant’s top customers are loyal (with a clear first choice for the brand). In other words, roughly half of a brand’s top (most frequent) customers prefer to shop at competitive brands.
While the top customers that are loyal have a share of wallet of 60%, the remaining top-customers have a share of wallet of only 21%, meaning 79% of their spend goes to competitors.
1 Cardlytics used a 12 month measurement period for Apparel and Big Box (08/01/23 to 07/31/24) and a 6 month period for all other categories (01/31/24 to 07/31/24) when isolating the top-10% most frequent shoppers. Cardlytics measured the share of wallet ranking for all of these top customers with spend in this period (regardless of whether they were newly acquired by the brand in the period or if they were existing shoppers from the prior period).
What do these insights mean for you?
Supplementing first party transaction data with category-level spending behavior is essential to understanding and defining which customers are loyal (and which customers are not), thereby enabling more informed marketing strategies that deliver growth.
Reach out to Cardlytics to get a custom brand-level view of your business’ loyal customers in relation to the category. For more information, please submit a request.
About Cardlytics
Cardlytics is the world's largest bank rewards network, powering offers for more than 20 of the top bank partners globally, including the world’s largest retail brands, representing $4.7T in consumer spend. Cardlytics helps brands determine what loyalty really looks like across their customer base to identify headroom for growth, reach customers deterministically, and drive conversions.
1. Loyal customers are existing customers of a merchant with a clear first choice for that merchant (relative to the category), as evidenced by their share of wallet ranking (note: existing customers are those with spend in the current and prior periods4).
2. Includes customers that have spent with a merchant but were either newly acquired or lapsed in the current period4, evenly split their category spend between multiple merchants, and/or have a clear preference for competitors.
3. Includes the top-10% of a merchant’s customers based on the number of transactions at the merchant in the trailing 6-12 month period
4. Current period for Apparel and Big Box is 08/01/23 to 07/31/24; current period for all other categories is 01/31/24 to 07/31/24
Understanding the Card-Linked Offer Customer Experience
Cardlytics' latest study examines how customers truly feel about card-linked offers, how offers affect shopping behaviors, and how they perceive the brands and banks that offer them. Explore the full study in our latest infographic.
Explore the 2024 Cardlytics Customer Experience Survey
The results are in! Cardlytics and Qualtrics recently partnered to survey shoppers, and evaluate the thoughts and feelings of customers who leverage card-linked offers. It's no surprise that CLOs create a more rewarding experience for shoppers, and can act as that critical tipping point to influence purchase decisions. Explore the full survey in our latest infographic below or download here:
Insight: Unleashing Potential from Pet Parents
Our 1st party transaction data suggests that while less and less consumers are spending in the pet specialty retail category every year, those who remain are increasingly valuable for brands to retain.
Explore why driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential in the pet category.
New from Cardlytics: Our 1st party transaction data suggests that while less and less consumers are spending in the pet specialty retail category every year, those who remain are increasingly valuable for brands to retain. Download the full insight bulletin today!
Since COVID, the Pet specialty retail category has seen impressive growth in spend every year. However, the rate of growth has significantly declined. The leading driver of this slow down is a decline in the volume of Pet shoppers - shopper volume only grew by 1.17% in 2023. There are less category shoppers overall, and less consumers defined as new pet parents.*
Despite fewer shoppers entering the category, existing pet parents are doting on their pets with non-essential purchases.
Of existing pet parents shopping the category in 2023, 9% were considered “doting pet parents” (+2pts vs. 2022) who make non-essential purchases for their pets (e.g. premium natural food). This category of shoppers spends 2x more than the average pet parent.
What does this mean for you?
Driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential to increasing sales long-term, especially when the category competition is fierce.
Download the full insight bulletin, and let’s chat about how Cardlytics can help drive your pet loyalty efforts. Email hello@cardlytics.com to get started.
Cardlytics State of Spend Report April 2024: UK Dining Trends
UK Consumers are feeling the pinch, investigating how an increased cost-of-living is driving key swings in consumer behaviour.
Introduction
Cardlytics helps brands understand and respond to the biggest trends in consumer behaviour, supported by spending insight from over 20 million UK bank accounts.
In this report, we have analysed eating and drinking habits to understand how restaurants, from quick-service to fine-dining, as well as lunch spots, coffee shops and casual chains, have been impacted by the prolonged high cost-of-living. Are we still a nation addicted to coffee? Are pizza shops still hitting the spot with consumers? Are bakeries and burger chains suffering as many consumers look to embrace healthier choices??
To help brands better understand how consumers are reacting to this extended period of high inflation, we’ve tackled all of these topics, analysing Cardlytics purchase intelligence data and providing insight and advice for brands on supporting and continuing to attract customers in today’s operating environment.
Pizza shops getting the chop as consumers shift to alternative fast-food options
Takeaway pizza chains are losing ground in the quick service restaurant (QSR) sector, as consumers continue to move away from pizza in favour of alternative fast-food options.
Despite the average transaction value (ATV) at pizza restaurants increasing by only 11% between 2022 and 2024 (compared to a 21% rise in chicken shops and 18% at fast-food restaurants), diners have cut the number of visits to popular pizza takeaway chains by 20% over the same period.
This is significantly greater than the 4% reduction in visits to fast-food restaurants and 7% drop seen by chicken shops during the same period. It shows that, despite the widely reported impact of inflation on spending habits and a general rise in ATV across the QSR sector, consumers haven’t been entirely deterred from discretionary spending on the odd takeaway.
In fact, fast-food restaurants saw a 13% rise in spending between 2022 and 2024, whilst chicken shops saw an 11% increase. Comparatively, takeaway pizza restaurants saw a reduction in spending by 12%.
It appears, therefore, that despite tightening purse-strings, consumers are reluctant to forgo spending money on fast-food and chicken shops but are willing to sacrifice the occasional pizza.
Why might this be? Perhaps it’s due to the increasing availability of similar quality products at more affordable price points in supermarkets, or it could be as a result of a growing variety of fast-food and chicken shop chains in the UK market. In any eventuality, pizza shops face a unique set of challenges that they must overcome, if they are to regain market share in the QSR sector.
Cardlytics analysis
For pizza brands, there is a clear task at hand to ensure that they remain competitive in an increasingly busy QSR sector.
Consumers are faced with a growing number of takeout options to choose from, with chicken shop and fast-food chains from around the world recognising the opportunity available in the UK market. The rollout of up-and-coming fast-food restaurants is a clear indication of the growing choice consumers have from chains that, when compared to 10 years ago, had little to no market presence in the UK.
In tandem, established players in the QSR sector are recognising the need to deploy more creative and effective marketing campaigns to gain a competitive edge and drive engagement amongst consumers. This has been the case amongst fast-food and chicken shop chains, where spending amongst consumers has continued to increase despite rising inflation, whereas pizza chains have suffered a significant reduction in footfall by 20%.
The data shows that, despite the macroeconomic headwinds, there is a sustained appetite for takeaway food in the QSR sector. Marketers should therefore emphasise rewarding consumers with the best possible deals to gain a competitive advantage in what is, and continues to be, a heavily saturated market.
Coffee and quick ‘city lunch’ culture on the wane, while on-the-go bakeries see boost as cost-of-living continues to bite
As the cost-of-living continues to remain high, and disposable incomes still stretched due to unrelentingly high-interest rates, many commuting office-goers are being forced to modify their spending habits.
In fact, the broader macroeconomic challenges have had a significant impact on ‘city’ lunch brands, causing prices to hike. The knock-on effect of this on consumers is clear to see, with the average costs per transaction up 5%. This has caused consumers to seek cheaper alternatives, leading to a 9% reduction in the number of transactions made across the year, whilst overall spending has reduced by 4%.
A similar trend can be seen in spending at high-end coffee shops, a sector which saw a 14% drop in visits. This is a higher figure than the 9% drop in visits to chain coffee shops – which saw a 5% reduction in total customer spending.
Interestingly, this is not a trend that has affected the on-the-go bakery sector, with companies such as Greggs experiencing a 4% rise in spending for the year. This did not correlate with a proportionate increase in trips to such bakeries, which saw a 1% rise. This suggests either loyalty to the brands as a result of their consistent pricing, or perhaps resulting from customers shifting from the more expensive coffee or city lunch spots to more cost-effective alternatives.
When considered together, these trends tell an interesting story of consumers becoming increasingly conscious of their spending and subsequently moving away from more costly options to more affordable choices.
It is certainly feasible these statistics reflect a wider shift in habits, with many commuters now opting to bring in their own lunches and source cheaper coffee options (perhaps within their offices), and typically buying food and drink at more affordable dining spots where necessary. This remains a key trend to keep an eye on as the post-covid, hybrid working era is challenged by ‘return to the office’ protocols introduced by companies and the public sector.
Cardlytics analysis
Commuters and city workers are key consumers for coffee shops, inner-city lunch spots, and on-the-go bakeries, so it’s important to keep an eye on how these trends continue to develop and what impact these changes may have.
Crucially, for these brands – who regularly interact with their customers – data will be key. If the behaviours of their customers are changing, what do those changes look like? Are people opting only for a sandwich and sourcing their coffee elsewhere? Perhaps customers for whom a pastry was a daily purchase are now only buying them once-a-week as a treat? Looking at an individual’s data, and using that to create tailored offers, not only shows that your brand cares, but also helps to put the right offer in front of them at the right time.
Then, by offering incentives to customers on the days of the week they are most likely to visit the store or buy a particular item, consumers are far more likely to become repeat customers. This becomes particularly pronounced as people continue to limit their spending in the era of high inflation and an ongoing cost-of-living crisis.
Casual and upscale dining both drop off while burger chains see a hike
Dining out is often one of the first areas of discretionary spend households look to reduce when their finances are stretched. With interest rates still at a high threshold, disposable incomes are still being spread thin for many.
It is with this backdrop that the number of transactions within casual dining restaurants has dropped 13% year-on-year. This followed a small 2% growth in transactions between 2022 and 2023.
However, despite the decline in trips to restaurants this year, consumers who are eating out are spending 7% more per transaction compared with the same time period in 2023. This is likely as a result of inflation hiking prices, increasing the average spend per transaction. Overall, casual dining has seen a 7% decline in total spend by consumers.
As purse-strings continue to tighten, upscale dining has seen a significant decline of 11% relating to trips to restaurants. With consumers clearly being more cost conscious than in recent memory, many appear to have reduced visits to more upscale restaurants in a bid to save money.
On the flip-side, burger chains – such as Honest Burger, Patty & Bun and Byron – have seen a massive 17% hike in transaction volume in the last 12 months. This has coincided with a 6% growth in the amount spent per transaction on average, contributing to an overall 12% growth in spend in burger chains this year.
The reasons behind this could vary, numerous establishments have launched their own vegan and healthier-option burgers and menus, for example, as well as the restaurants potentially representing a solid ‘middle ground’ for households, or an alternative between fast-food and fine-dining.
Cardlytics analysis
The eat-in dining industry, from casual to up-market, is still being impacted by the ongoing high cost-of-living. Whether it’s more regular purchases like a quick coffee or lunch, or something more meaningful, like a celebratory meal, customer scrutiny on spend remains high.
For brands to continue to navigate this challenging economic environment, clever use of data will be instrumental. This is particularly important for brands which interact frequently with customers, such as coffee shops and quick service restaurants. For these brands, it is now important to meaningfully consider what their customer data is telling them. Which habits do their customers have? Is it a lunchtime treat every Friday? A sweet treat with their coffee as a midweek pick-me-up?
Inspecting an individual’s data to create tailored offers shows that you understand and care about giving your customers the best value for the brands on which they want to spend money . For most brands, the key will be offering introductory discounts to entice new customers , and longer-term personalised rewards to secure return visits.
Craving more? Click through here for access to our bite size infographic
Methodology
Cardlytics analysed spending trends based on its purchase intelligence data, which covers over 20 million UK bank accounts. The periods include January and February spending from the last four years (2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).
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Card-Linked Offers and MMM: Getting the Real Story
Measurement of marketing efforts across channels is an essential part of understanding and analyzing performance. Cardlytics is proud to work with leading Media Mix Models to help our advertisers better understand results across their media mix, including the unique value of the Cardlytics platform.
Executive Summary
- Advertisers have increasingly used MMMs to better analyze the performance of their marketing efforts across channels, but continue to face some challenges with data.
- Measurement of card-linked offer (CLO) programs have also historically posed a challenge to MMMs.
- Cardlytics is working with leading marketing measurement experts to develop best practices for integrating Cardlytics campaign data into media mix models, helping our advertisers more accurately measure incremental impact of Cardlytics campaigns and the rest of their marketing program.
Media Mix Models and card-linked offers
For brand advertisers to truly understand and analyze the performance of their marketing efforts, measurement plays an essential role. Since it is not enough to analyze the performance of a single channel in isolation, advertisers lean on Media Mix Modeling (MMM) solutions to better understand the full picture of their marketing efforts, which channels are impacting their overall spend, and how to determine future budget allocation. MMMs have been especially beneficial for marketing analysis and reporting, marketing budget optimization, scenario planning, and performance tracking – but advertisers continue to face challenges with data quality, invalid or incomplete data inputs, and accounting for broader shifts in market economics.
Measuring the effectiveness of card-linked offer (CLO) programs, such as Cardlytics’ platform, have historically posed a challenge to MMMs. Because our platform shows digital ads within the walled environment of digital banking channels and measures performance through card-linked data from our banking partners, it has been difficult for advertisers to get an accurate view of CLO performance.
Integrating Cardlytics data with MMMs
To help our advertisers address these challenges with CLO measurement, we are excited to announce that Cardlytics will be working with leading MMMs, including Analytic Partners and Ipsos MMA. By integrating Cardlytics data into these models, we are able to help our advertisers, modelers and analysts better understand the unique value of our platform as part of the overall marketing mix.
Through a tailored training program with each MMM, we are working together to ensure that:
- Cardlytics data is properly incorporated into their models
- Modelers understand how Cardlytics and card-linked offers work, and how CLO campaigns are measured
- Data is interpreted appropriately and modelers are equipped with best practices for potential enhancements to their models (e.g., elevating lower-funnel metrics such as clicks and redemptions, rather than just ad impressions)
In addition to integrating into MMMs, Cardlytics continues to invest in our own Test vs. Control solution to demonstrate the incremental benefits of our platform.
Considerations for enhancing measurement
It’s important for advertisers to keep the following considerations in mind when thinking about CLO measurement with MMMs:
- Pay-for-performance advertising means that model relationships seen in other digital channels may not exist. Some models are better for upper-funnel media channels, which may not be appropriate for measuring the effectiveness of CLO campaigns.
- Our adstock and ability to provide campaign-level detail are unique, and provide full funnel visibility for deterministic customers, from impression to engagement to purchase.
- Supplementing with customer-level metrics (e.g., Cardlytics’ Test vs. Control analysis) can provide a more comprehensive picture of campaign effectiveness.
If you are interested in learning more or already partner with an MMM, reach out to your Cardlytics Account Manager or email mmm@cardlytics.com to discuss how we can help ensure your CLO program is being measured properly.
Insights Report: Redefining Customer Loyalty
Cardlytics has access to $4.7Tn in omni-channel annual card spend, powered by the largest financial institutions in the United States. We have sampled this rich dataset to provide a full-category view of spend that sheds insight on what it really means to be brand-loyal, and how marketers can redefine audiences to make informed, strategic decisions.
Redefining Customer Loyalty
Introduction
Brands of all sizes know that engaging loyal customers is critical to their business, but how do they know which customers are loyal? Most marketers use first party transaction data to assess how often their customers are shopping or how much they are spending in order to define who their loyal customers are. This approach can lead to an inaccurate view of loyalty because it overlooks whether these customers are spending with competing brands.
Cardlytics has access to $4.7Tn in omni-channel annual card spend, powered by the largest financial institutions in the United States. We have sampled this rich dataset to provide a full-category view of spend that sheds insight on what it really means to be brand-loyal, and how marketers can redefine audiences to make informed, strategic decisions.
Read on to explore the full report (or download it here) and reach out today to get a custom brand-level view of your business’ loyal customers in relation to the category.
Key Takeaways from the Report
Significant potential exists to grow revenue by boosting customer loyalty and increasing their share of wallet.
- 10% of customers are loyal, spending 62% of their budget with the merchant.
- 90% are not loyal, spending only 9% of their budget with the merchant.
- Brands could benefit from 6.9x customer spend by focusing on the 90% of non-loyal customers
Transaction frequency doesn't equate to loyalty.
- Only 50% of a merchant's top shoppers are loyal.
- 48% of a merchant's top shoppers spend 79% of their budget with competitors.
Customer Loyalty & Share of Wallet
Defining Customer Loyalty
Cardlytics defines customer loyalty based on a consumer’s preference for a merchant relative to the competition. In this report, we’ve sampled $160Bn of spend across six large categories to determine what percentage of a merchant’s customers are loyal and how much are those customers spending with the competition as compared to customers that are not loyal.
On average, 10% of a merchant’s customers are loyal (ranging from 5-13% depending on the category). Conversely, 90% of a merchant’s customers are not loyal, on average.
These loyal customers have a share of wallet of 62% (meaning 62% of their category spend is with the merchant). Not loyal customers have a share of wallet of only 9%.
1 Cardlytics applies the principles of the Wallet Allocation Rule to rank existing customers (that spent during the prior and current periods) based on their share of wallet (which is the percentage of a customer’s total spending in a category that goes to a particular merchant) to assess clear first choice based on the relative rank of that merchant. Full methodology included at the end of this report.
Top Customer Loyalty & Share of Wallet
Are Frequent Shoppers Loyal?
In the absence of competitive spend data, Marketers leverage transaction frequency to define loyalty (e.g., “the customers who shop the most frequently are my loyal customers”). Cardlytics isolated the top customers (most frequent purchasers), by merchant, to assess whether this is an appropriate proxy for loyalty. For this group of top customers, we analyzed what percentage of them are loyal (have a clear first choice for the merchant) and how much are they spending with the competition.
On average, only 52% of a merchant’s top customers are loyal (with a clear first choice for the brand). In other words, roughly half of a brand’s top (most frequent) customers prefer to shop at competitive brands.
While the top customers that are loyal have a share of wallet of 60%, the remaining top-customers have a share of wallet of only 21%, meaning 79% of their spend goes to competitors.
1 Cardlytics used a 12 month measurement period for Apparel and Big Box (08/01/23 to 07/31/24) and a 6 month period for all other categories (01/31/24 to 07/31/24) when isolating the top-10% most frequent shoppers. Cardlytics measured the share of wallet ranking for all of these top customers with spend in this period (regardless of whether they were newly acquired by the brand in the period or if they were existing shoppers from the prior period).
What do these insights mean for you?
Supplementing first party transaction data with category-level spending behavior is essential to understanding and defining which customers are loyal (and which customers are not), thereby enabling more informed marketing strategies that deliver growth.
Reach out to Cardlytics to get a custom brand-level view of your business’ loyal customers in relation to the category. For more information, please submit a request.
About Cardlytics
Cardlytics is the world's largest bank rewards network, powering offers for more than 20 of the top bank partners globally, including the world’s largest retail brands, representing $4.7T in consumer spend. Cardlytics helps brands determine what loyalty really looks like across their customer base to identify headroom for growth, reach customers deterministically, and drive conversions.
1. Loyal customers are existing customers of a merchant with a clear first choice for that merchant (relative to the category), as evidenced by their share of wallet ranking (note: existing customers are those with spend in the current and prior periods4).
2. Includes customers that have spent with a merchant but were either newly acquired or lapsed in the current period4, evenly split their category spend between multiple merchants, and/or have a clear preference for competitors.
3. Includes the top-10% of a merchant’s customers based on the number of transactions at the merchant in the trailing 6-12 month period
4. Current period for Apparel and Big Box is 08/01/23 to 07/31/24; current period for all other categories is 01/31/24 to 07/31/24
UK State of Loyalty Spend 2024
The State of Loyalty Spend report, based on the spending habits of over 22 million UK bank accounts, along with a poll of 2,000 UK adults conducted by Opinium assessing customer loyalty, found that - despite consumers being increasingly cost-conscious - there is still room for brand loyalty to influence spending behaviour.
A Lens on Loyalty: Cardlytics UK State of Spend Report 2024
LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM - 30 JULY 2024: Despite the cost-of-living crisis easing, it continues to play a significant role in shifting consumer behaviour, forcing brands to reconsider how they can inspire loyalty in an environment where consumers are looking to reduce their outgoings, according to a new report from advertising platform Cardlytics.
The State of Loyalty Spend report, based on the spending habits of over 22 million UK bank accounts, along with a poll of 2,000 UK adults conducted by Opinium assessing customer loyalty, found that - despite consumers being increasingly cost-conscious - there is still room for brand loyalty to influence spending behaviour.
Seven in 10 (69%) UK adults view trust in a brand as important to them when making a purchase, whilst three fifths (59%) say that they have been loyal to brands for “as long as they can remember” - a clear indication that brand loyalty is well and truly alive. However, particularly off the back of the cost-of-living crisis, affordability is vital in shaping and influencing purchasing habits. UK adults rank price as the most important factor in the decision-making process, followed by trust in a brand and convenience.
This report examines three specific categories - retail, hospitality and travel - which together demonstrate a clear trend of customers having to balance commitment to the brands they know and love, with limiting financial outgoings. With consumer behaviour in flux, the report includes analysis on some of the factors creating this environment, along with recommendations for business leaders on how they can inspire brand loyalty, whilst also attracting to new customers.
UK restaurant-goers have a greater appetite for what they know
The dining sector is, generally, one of the first areas of discretionary spend that consumers cut when times are tough. With overall spending in restaurants down 8% in 2024 (following a 14% rise in 2023) but spending per trip up by almost a fifth (16%), it’s clear to see the challenges that brands and consumers face in the current environment. Price remains the key driver for customers when it comes to eating out, but other factors, including loyalty, quality, and trust remain relevant.
Over half (54%) of adults choose to return to restaurants they have visited before over trying new alternatives, showing that consumers remain risk averse as economic pressures on households continue to build. Despite this, a similar number (54%) of consumers are more likely to visit a new restaurant if they offer a discount voucher or cash back rewards system; while 45% of UK households are more likely to visit a restaurant if it offers rewards for returning customers. This is evidence of the potential for data-driven tactics to enable restaurants to drive greater footfall and sustain their existing customer base.
Affordability trumps loyalty when it comes to the weekly food shop
Two-thirds (64%) of respondents named affordability as the most important factor when deciding where to shop, a clear indication of impact of record levels of inflation on consumers’ disposable income.
Despite consumers being increasingly cost-conscious, three in five (61%) said they are more likely to visit a store or supermarket if it offers a loyalty or rewards system – rising to 70% for the 18-34 demographic. In an environment where brand loyalty has come under question, this research shows how solutions such as targeted offers and rewards can inspire commitment to brands.
Indeed, loyalty remains an important factor for many consumers, with over half (54%) choosing to travel to shop at their preferred supermarket, even if other options are closer. This should serve as further encouragement for supermarkets that reward their customers for staying faithful, particularly in times where confidence in spending is low.
Holidaymakers balance brand familiarity and cost
When it comes to travel, affordability is key, but building brand loyalty is a clear opportunity - with 69% agreeing that trust in a brand is important when making a purchase. Brands that can unlock insights from their data, and provide tailored offers, will thrive - building greater trust in a time where competition is rife.
Over the last two years, budget airlines have seen a boom, with the total number of trips increasing from 1,750,000 in 2022 to 2,400,000 in the first six months of 2024 (already a 37% rise), whilst non-budget airlines have only increased from 509,000 to 590,000 (a 15% uplift) across the same period.
Equally, the volume of domestic travel has doubled between 2021 and 2024. Whilst this could be down to more people recognising the beauty of the Cornish coast or Yorkshire Dales, affordability is likely to be a key factor driving this uplift. The average transaction value of a domestic holiday (£110) is £20 cheaper than a budget airline flight (without the additional expense of accommodation), less than a third of the price of a non-budget airline, and almost a fifth of the price of a package holiday abroad.
“Whilst affordability will always be key for consumers, particularly in tough economic times for consumers and households, building brand loyalty is key. Whether it’s restaurant-goers sticking with what they know, particularly when they’re rewarded for it, or customers travelling further than they need to take advantage of their favourite supermarket’s loyalty card system, consumers are making savvy decisions based on what suits them – and often, which brands treats them best," Lucy Whittemore, SVP of UK Advertising, Cardlytics states.
"For businesses in hospitality, retail, and travel, where competition is high and interaction with customers is frequent, data will be key. By gleaning insights from customers’ spending data, brands can create, tailored, relevant offers for consumers – both new and existing. This can help them build a deeper connection with the customer, fostering loyalty and trust to drive footfall and incremental growth in spend.”
The full State of Spend Report is available for download here.
Methodology
Cardlytics analysed spending trends based on its purchase intelligence data, which covers over 22 million UK bank accounts. The periods include January and February spending from the last four years (2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).
Cardlytics also conducted research with Opinium looking at customer loyalty. The omnibus surveyed 2,000 UK adults, nationally representative, between 18th and 21st June 2024.
Understanding the Card-Linked Offer Customer Experience
Cardlytics' latest study examines how customers truly feel about card-linked offers, how offers affect shopping behaviors, and how they perceive the brands and banks that offer them. Explore the full study in our latest infographic.
Explore the 2024 Cardlytics Customer Experience Survey
The results are in! Cardlytics and Qualtrics recently partnered to survey shoppers, and evaluate the thoughts and feelings of customers who leverage card-linked offers. It's no surprise that CLOs create a more rewarding experience for shoppers, and can act as that critical tipping point to influence purchase decisions. Explore the full survey in our latest infographic below or download here:
Insight: Unleashing Potential from Pet Parents
Our 1st party transaction data suggests that while less and less consumers are spending in the pet specialty retail category every year, those who remain are increasingly valuable for brands to retain.
Explore why driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential in the pet category.
New from Cardlytics: Our 1st party transaction data suggests that while less and less consumers are spending in the pet specialty retail category every year, those who remain are increasingly valuable for brands to retain. Download the full insight bulletin today!
Since COVID, the Pet specialty retail category has seen impressive growth in spend every year. However, the rate of growth has significantly declined. The leading driver of this slow down is a decline in the volume of Pet shoppers - shopper volume only grew by 1.17% in 2023. There are less category shoppers overall, and less consumers defined as new pet parents.*
Despite fewer shoppers entering the category, existing pet parents are doting on their pets with non-essential purchases.
Of existing pet parents shopping the category in 2023, 9% were considered “doting pet parents” (+2pts vs. 2022) who make non-essential purchases for their pets (e.g. premium natural food). This category of shoppers spends 2x more than the average pet parent.
What does this mean for you?
Driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential to increasing sales long-term, especially when the category competition is fierce.
Download the full insight bulletin, and let’s chat about how Cardlytics can help drive your pet loyalty efforts. Email hello@cardlytics.com to get started.
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Card-Linked Offers and MMM: Getting the Real Story
Measurement of marketing efforts across channels is an essential part of understanding and analyzing performance. Cardlytics is proud to work with leading Media Mix Models to help our advertisers better understand results across their media mix, including the unique value of the Cardlytics platform.
Executive Summary
- Advertisers have increasingly used MMMs to better analyze the performance of their marketing efforts across channels, but continue to face some challenges with data.
- Measurement of card-linked offer (CLO) programs have also historically posed a challenge to MMMs.
- Cardlytics is working with leading marketing measurement experts to develop best practices for integrating Cardlytics campaign data into media mix models, helping our advertisers more accurately measure incremental impact of Cardlytics campaigns and the rest of their marketing program.
Media Mix Models and card-linked offers
For brand advertisers to truly understand and analyze the performance of their marketing efforts, measurement plays an essential role. Since it is not enough to analyze the performance of a single channel in isolation, advertisers lean on Media Mix Modeling (MMM) solutions to better understand the full picture of their marketing efforts, which channels are impacting their overall spend, and how to determine future budget allocation. MMMs have been especially beneficial for marketing analysis and reporting, marketing budget optimization, scenario planning, and performance tracking – but advertisers continue to face challenges with data quality, invalid or incomplete data inputs, and accounting for broader shifts in market economics.
Measuring the effectiveness of card-linked offer (CLO) programs, such as Cardlytics’ platform, have historically posed a challenge to MMMs. Because our platform shows digital ads within the walled environment of digital banking channels and measures performance through card-linked data from our banking partners, it has been difficult for advertisers to get an accurate view of CLO performance.
Integrating Cardlytics data with MMMs
To help our advertisers address these challenges with CLO measurement, we are excited to announce that Cardlytics will be working with leading MMMs, including Analytic Partners and Ipsos MMA. By integrating Cardlytics data into these models, we are able to help our advertisers, modelers and analysts better understand the unique value of our platform as part of the overall marketing mix.
Through a tailored training program with each MMM, we are working together to ensure that:
- Cardlytics data is properly incorporated into their models
- Modelers understand how Cardlytics and card-linked offers work, and how CLO campaigns are measured
- Data is interpreted appropriately and modelers are equipped with best practices for potential enhancements to their models (e.g., elevating lower-funnel metrics such as clicks and redemptions, rather than just ad impressions)
In addition to integrating into MMMs, Cardlytics continues to invest in our own Test vs. Control solution to demonstrate the incremental benefits of our platform.
Considerations for enhancing measurement
It’s important for advertisers to keep the following considerations in mind when thinking about CLO measurement with MMMs:
- Pay-for-performance advertising means that model relationships seen in other digital channels may not exist. Some models are better for upper-funnel media channels, which may not be appropriate for measuring the effectiveness of CLO campaigns.
- Our adstock and ability to provide campaign-level detail are unique, and provide full funnel visibility for deterministic customers, from impression to engagement to purchase.
- Supplementing with customer-level metrics (e.g., Cardlytics’ Test vs. Control analysis) can provide a more comprehensive picture of campaign effectiveness.
If you are interested in learning more or already partner with an MMM, reach out to your Cardlytics Account Manager or email mmm@cardlytics.com to discuss how we can help ensure your CLO program is being measured properly.
Insights Report: Redefining Customer Loyalty
Cardlytics has access to $4.7Tn in omni-channel annual card spend, powered by the largest financial institutions in the United States. We have sampled this rich dataset to provide a full-category view of spend that sheds insight on what it really means to be brand-loyal, and how marketers can redefine audiences to make informed, strategic decisions.
Redefining Customer Loyalty
Introduction
Brands of all sizes know that engaging loyal customers is critical to their business, but how do they know which customers are loyal? Most marketers use first party transaction data to assess how often their customers are shopping or how much they are spending in order to define who their loyal customers are. This approach can lead to an inaccurate view of loyalty because it overlooks whether these customers are spending with competing brands.
Cardlytics has access to $4.7Tn in omni-channel annual card spend, powered by the largest financial institutions in the United States. We have sampled this rich dataset to provide a full-category view of spend that sheds insight on what it really means to be brand-loyal, and how marketers can redefine audiences to make informed, strategic decisions.
Read on to explore the full report (or download it here) and reach out today to get a custom brand-level view of your business’ loyal customers in relation to the category.
Key Takeaways from the Report
Significant potential exists to grow revenue by boosting customer loyalty and increasing their share of wallet.
- 10% of customers are loyal, spending 62% of their budget with the merchant.
- 90% are not loyal, spending only 9% of their budget with the merchant.
- Brands could benefit from 6.9x customer spend by focusing on the 90% of non-loyal customers
Transaction frequency doesn't equate to loyalty.
- Only 50% of a merchant's top shoppers are loyal.
- 48% of a merchant's top shoppers spend 79% of their budget with competitors.
Customer Loyalty & Share of Wallet
Defining Customer Loyalty
Cardlytics defines customer loyalty based on a consumer’s preference for a merchant relative to the competition. In this report, we’ve sampled $160Bn of spend across six large categories to determine what percentage of a merchant’s customers are loyal and how much are those customers spending with the competition as compared to customers that are not loyal.
On average, 10% of a merchant’s customers are loyal (ranging from 5-13% depending on the category). Conversely, 90% of a merchant’s customers are not loyal, on average.
These loyal customers have a share of wallet of 62% (meaning 62% of their category spend is with the merchant). Not loyal customers have a share of wallet of only 9%.
1 Cardlytics applies the principles of the Wallet Allocation Rule to rank existing customers (that spent during the prior and current periods) based on their share of wallet (which is the percentage of a customer’s total spending in a category that goes to a particular merchant) to assess clear first choice based on the relative rank of that merchant. Full methodology included at the end of this report.
Top Customer Loyalty & Share of Wallet
Are Frequent Shoppers Loyal?
In the absence of competitive spend data, Marketers leverage transaction frequency to define loyalty (e.g., “the customers who shop the most frequently are my loyal customers”). Cardlytics isolated the top customers (most frequent purchasers), by merchant, to assess whether this is an appropriate proxy for loyalty. For this group of top customers, we analyzed what percentage of them are loyal (have a clear first choice for the merchant) and how much are they spending with the competition.
On average, only 52% of a merchant’s top customers are loyal (with a clear first choice for the brand). In other words, roughly half of a brand’s top (most frequent) customers prefer to shop at competitive brands.
While the top customers that are loyal have a share of wallet of 60%, the remaining top-customers have a share of wallet of only 21%, meaning 79% of their spend goes to competitors.
1 Cardlytics used a 12 month measurement period for Apparel and Big Box (08/01/23 to 07/31/24) and a 6 month period for all other categories (01/31/24 to 07/31/24) when isolating the top-10% most frequent shoppers. Cardlytics measured the share of wallet ranking for all of these top customers with spend in this period (regardless of whether they were newly acquired by the brand in the period or if they were existing shoppers from the prior period).
What do these insights mean for you?
Supplementing first party transaction data with category-level spending behavior is essential to understanding and defining which customers are loyal (and which customers are not), thereby enabling more informed marketing strategies that deliver growth.
Reach out to Cardlytics to get a custom brand-level view of your business’ loyal customers in relation to the category. For more information, please submit a request.
About Cardlytics
Cardlytics is the world's largest bank rewards network, powering offers for more than 20 of the top bank partners globally, including the world’s largest retail brands, representing $4.7T in consumer spend. Cardlytics helps brands determine what loyalty really looks like across their customer base to identify headroom for growth, reach customers deterministically, and drive conversions.
1. Loyal customers are existing customers of a merchant with a clear first choice for that merchant (relative to the category), as evidenced by their share of wallet ranking (note: existing customers are those with spend in the current and prior periods4).
2. Includes customers that have spent with a merchant but were either newly acquired or lapsed in the current period4, evenly split their category spend between multiple merchants, and/or have a clear preference for competitors.
3. Includes the top-10% of a merchant’s customers based on the number of transactions at the merchant in the trailing 6-12 month period
4. Current period for Apparel and Big Box is 08/01/23 to 07/31/24; current period for all other categories is 01/31/24 to 07/31/24
UK State of Loyalty Spend 2024
The State of Loyalty Spend report, based on the spending habits of over 22 million UK bank accounts, along with a poll of 2,000 UK adults conducted by Opinium assessing customer loyalty, found that - despite consumers being increasingly cost-conscious - there is still room for brand loyalty to influence spending behaviour.
A Lens on Loyalty: Cardlytics UK State of Spend Report 2024
LONDON, UNITED KINGDOM - 30 JULY 2024: Despite the cost-of-living crisis easing, it continues to play a significant role in shifting consumer behaviour, forcing brands to reconsider how they can inspire loyalty in an environment where consumers are looking to reduce their outgoings, according to a new report from advertising platform Cardlytics.
The State of Loyalty Spend report, based on the spending habits of over 22 million UK bank accounts, along with a poll of 2,000 UK adults conducted by Opinium assessing customer loyalty, found that - despite consumers being increasingly cost-conscious - there is still room for brand loyalty to influence spending behaviour.
Seven in 10 (69%) UK adults view trust in a brand as important to them when making a purchase, whilst three fifths (59%) say that they have been loyal to brands for “as long as they can remember” - a clear indication that brand loyalty is well and truly alive. However, particularly off the back of the cost-of-living crisis, affordability is vital in shaping and influencing purchasing habits. UK adults rank price as the most important factor in the decision-making process, followed by trust in a brand and convenience.
This report examines three specific categories - retail, hospitality and travel - which together demonstrate a clear trend of customers having to balance commitment to the brands they know and love, with limiting financial outgoings. With consumer behaviour in flux, the report includes analysis on some of the factors creating this environment, along with recommendations for business leaders on how they can inspire brand loyalty, whilst also attracting to new customers.
UK restaurant-goers have a greater appetite for what they know
The dining sector is, generally, one of the first areas of discretionary spend that consumers cut when times are tough. With overall spending in restaurants down 8% in 2024 (following a 14% rise in 2023) but spending per trip up by almost a fifth (16%), it’s clear to see the challenges that brands and consumers face in the current environment. Price remains the key driver for customers when it comes to eating out, but other factors, including loyalty, quality, and trust remain relevant.
Over half (54%) of adults choose to return to restaurants they have visited before over trying new alternatives, showing that consumers remain risk averse as economic pressures on households continue to build. Despite this, a similar number (54%) of consumers are more likely to visit a new restaurant if they offer a discount voucher or cash back rewards system; while 45% of UK households are more likely to visit a restaurant if it offers rewards for returning customers. This is evidence of the potential for data-driven tactics to enable restaurants to drive greater footfall and sustain their existing customer base.
Affordability trumps loyalty when it comes to the weekly food shop
Two-thirds (64%) of respondents named affordability as the most important factor when deciding where to shop, a clear indication of impact of record levels of inflation on consumers’ disposable income.
Despite consumers being increasingly cost-conscious, three in five (61%) said they are more likely to visit a store or supermarket if it offers a loyalty or rewards system – rising to 70% for the 18-34 demographic. In an environment where brand loyalty has come under question, this research shows how solutions such as targeted offers and rewards can inspire commitment to brands.
Indeed, loyalty remains an important factor for many consumers, with over half (54%) choosing to travel to shop at their preferred supermarket, even if other options are closer. This should serve as further encouragement for supermarkets that reward their customers for staying faithful, particularly in times where confidence in spending is low.
Holidaymakers balance brand familiarity and cost
When it comes to travel, affordability is key, but building brand loyalty is a clear opportunity - with 69% agreeing that trust in a brand is important when making a purchase. Brands that can unlock insights from their data, and provide tailored offers, will thrive - building greater trust in a time where competition is rife.
Over the last two years, budget airlines have seen a boom, with the total number of trips increasing from 1,750,000 in 2022 to 2,400,000 in the first six months of 2024 (already a 37% rise), whilst non-budget airlines have only increased from 509,000 to 590,000 (a 15% uplift) across the same period.
Equally, the volume of domestic travel has doubled between 2021 and 2024. Whilst this could be down to more people recognising the beauty of the Cornish coast or Yorkshire Dales, affordability is likely to be a key factor driving this uplift. The average transaction value of a domestic holiday (£110) is £20 cheaper than a budget airline flight (without the additional expense of accommodation), less than a third of the price of a non-budget airline, and almost a fifth of the price of a package holiday abroad.
“Whilst affordability will always be key for consumers, particularly in tough economic times for consumers and households, building brand loyalty is key. Whether it’s restaurant-goers sticking with what they know, particularly when they’re rewarded for it, or customers travelling further than they need to take advantage of their favourite supermarket’s loyalty card system, consumers are making savvy decisions based on what suits them – and often, which brands treats them best," Lucy Whittemore, SVP of UK Advertising, Cardlytics states.
"For businesses in hospitality, retail, and travel, where competition is high and interaction with customers is frequent, data will be key. By gleaning insights from customers’ spending data, brands can create, tailored, relevant offers for consumers – both new and existing. This can help them build a deeper connection with the customer, fostering loyalty and trust to drive footfall and incremental growth in spend.”
The full State of Spend Report is available for download here.
Methodology
Cardlytics analysed spending trends based on its purchase intelligence data, which covers over 22 million UK bank accounts. The periods include January and February spending from the last four years (2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).
Cardlytics also conducted research with Opinium looking at customer loyalty. The omnibus surveyed 2,000 UK adults, nationally representative, between 18th and 21st June 2024.
Understanding the Card-Linked Offer Customer Experience
Cardlytics' latest study examines how customers truly feel about card-linked offers, how offers affect shopping behaviors, and how they perceive the brands and banks that offer them. Explore the full study in our latest infographic.
Explore the 2024 Cardlytics Customer Experience Survey
The results are in! Cardlytics and Qualtrics recently partnered to survey shoppers, and evaluate the thoughts and feelings of customers who leverage card-linked offers. It's no surprise that CLOs create a more rewarding experience for shoppers, and can act as that critical tipping point to influence purchase decisions. Explore the full survey in our latest infographic below or download here:
Insight: Unleashing Potential from Pet Parents
Our 1st party transaction data suggests that while less and less consumers are spending in the pet specialty retail category every year, those who remain are increasingly valuable for brands to retain.
Explore why driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential in the pet category.
New from Cardlytics: Our 1st party transaction data suggests that while less and less consumers are spending in the pet specialty retail category every year, those who remain are increasingly valuable for brands to retain. Download the full insight bulletin today!
Since COVID, the Pet specialty retail category has seen impressive growth in spend every year. However, the rate of growth has significantly declined. The leading driver of this slow down is a decline in the volume of Pet shoppers - shopper volume only grew by 1.17% in 2023. There are less category shoppers overall, and less consumers defined as new pet parents.*
Despite fewer shoppers entering the category, existing pet parents are doting on their pets with non-essential purchases.
Of existing pet parents shopping the category in 2023, 9% were considered “doting pet parents” (+2pts vs. 2022) who make non-essential purchases for their pets (e.g. premium natural food). This category of shoppers spends 2x more than the average pet parent.
What does this mean for you?
Driving transaction frequency among existing and high-value customers is essential to increasing sales long-term, especially when the category competition is fierce.
Download the full insight bulletin, and let’s chat about how Cardlytics can help drive your pet loyalty efforts. Email hello@cardlytics.com to get started.
Cardlytics State of Spend Report April 2024: UK Dining Trends
UK Consumers are feeling the pinch, investigating how an increased cost-of-living is driving key swings in consumer behaviour.
Introduction
Cardlytics helps brands understand and respond to the biggest trends in consumer behaviour, supported by spending insight from over 20 million UK bank accounts.
In this report, we have analysed eating and drinking habits to understand how restaurants, from quick-service to fine-dining, as well as lunch spots, coffee shops and casual chains, have been impacted by the prolonged high cost-of-living. Are we still a nation addicted to coffee? Are pizza shops still hitting the spot with consumers? Are bakeries and burger chains suffering as many consumers look to embrace healthier choices??
To help brands better understand how consumers are reacting to this extended period of high inflation, we’ve tackled all of these topics, analysing Cardlytics purchase intelligence data and providing insight and advice for brands on supporting and continuing to attract customers in today’s operating environment.
Pizza shops getting the chop as consumers shift to alternative fast-food options
Takeaway pizza chains are losing ground in the quick service restaurant (QSR) sector, as consumers continue to move away from pizza in favour of alternative fast-food options.
Despite the average transaction value (ATV) at pizza restaurants increasing by only 11% between 2022 and 2024 (compared to a 21% rise in chicken shops and 18% at fast-food restaurants), diners have cut the number of visits to popular pizza takeaway chains by 20% over the same period.
This is significantly greater than the 4% reduction in visits to fast-food restaurants and 7% drop seen by chicken shops during the same period. It shows that, despite the widely reported impact of inflation on spending habits and a general rise in ATV across the QSR sector, consumers haven’t been entirely deterred from discretionary spending on the odd takeaway.
In fact, fast-food restaurants saw a 13% rise in spending between 2022 and 2024, whilst chicken shops saw an 11% increase. Comparatively, takeaway pizza restaurants saw a reduction in spending by 12%.
It appears, therefore, that despite tightening purse-strings, consumers are reluctant to forgo spending money on fast-food and chicken shops but are willing to sacrifice the occasional pizza.
Why might this be? Perhaps it’s due to the increasing availability of similar quality products at more affordable price points in supermarkets, or it could be as a result of a growing variety of fast-food and chicken shop chains in the UK market. In any eventuality, pizza shops face a unique set of challenges that they must overcome, if they are to regain market share in the QSR sector.
Cardlytics analysis
For pizza brands, there is a clear task at hand to ensure that they remain competitive in an increasingly busy QSR sector.
Consumers are faced with a growing number of takeout options to choose from, with chicken shop and fast-food chains from around the world recognising the opportunity available in the UK market. The rollout of up-and-coming fast-food restaurants is a clear indication of the growing choice consumers have from chains that, when compared to 10 years ago, had little to no market presence in the UK.
In tandem, established players in the QSR sector are recognising the need to deploy more creative and effective marketing campaigns to gain a competitive edge and drive engagement amongst consumers. This has been the case amongst fast-food and chicken shop chains, where spending amongst consumers has continued to increase despite rising inflation, whereas pizza chains have suffered a significant reduction in footfall by 20%.
The data shows that, despite the macroeconomic headwinds, there is a sustained appetite for takeaway food in the QSR sector. Marketers should therefore emphasise rewarding consumers with the best possible deals to gain a competitive advantage in what is, and continues to be, a heavily saturated market.
Coffee and quick ‘city lunch’ culture on the wane, while on-the-go bakeries see boost as cost-of-living continues to bite
As the cost-of-living continues to remain high, and disposable incomes still stretched due to unrelentingly high-interest rates, many commuting office-goers are being forced to modify their spending habits.
In fact, the broader macroeconomic challenges have had a significant impact on ‘city’ lunch brands, causing prices to hike. The knock-on effect of this on consumers is clear to see, with the average costs per transaction up 5%. This has caused consumers to seek cheaper alternatives, leading to a 9% reduction in the number of transactions made across the year, whilst overall spending has reduced by 4%.
A similar trend can be seen in spending at high-end coffee shops, a sector which saw a 14% drop in visits. This is a higher figure than the 9% drop in visits to chain coffee shops – which saw a 5% reduction in total customer spending.
Interestingly, this is not a trend that has affected the on-the-go bakery sector, with companies such as Greggs experiencing a 4% rise in spending for the year. This did not correlate with a proportionate increase in trips to such bakeries, which saw a 1% rise. This suggests either loyalty to the brands as a result of their consistent pricing, or perhaps resulting from customers shifting from the more expensive coffee or city lunch spots to more cost-effective alternatives.
When considered together, these trends tell an interesting story of consumers becoming increasingly conscious of their spending and subsequently moving away from more costly options to more affordable choices.
It is certainly feasible these statistics reflect a wider shift in habits, with many commuters now opting to bring in their own lunches and source cheaper coffee options (perhaps within their offices), and typically buying food and drink at more affordable dining spots where necessary. This remains a key trend to keep an eye on as the post-covid, hybrid working era is challenged by ‘return to the office’ protocols introduced by companies and the public sector.
Cardlytics analysis
Commuters and city workers are key consumers for coffee shops, inner-city lunch spots, and on-the-go bakeries, so it’s important to keep an eye on how these trends continue to develop and what impact these changes may have.
Crucially, for these brands – who regularly interact with their customers – data will be key. If the behaviours of their customers are changing, what do those changes look like? Are people opting only for a sandwich and sourcing their coffee elsewhere? Perhaps customers for whom a pastry was a daily purchase are now only buying them once-a-week as a treat? Looking at an individual’s data, and using that to create tailored offers, not only shows that your brand cares, but also helps to put the right offer in front of them at the right time.
Then, by offering incentives to customers on the days of the week they are most likely to visit the store or buy a particular item, consumers are far more likely to become repeat customers. This becomes particularly pronounced as people continue to limit their spending in the era of high inflation and an ongoing cost-of-living crisis.
Casual and upscale dining both drop off while burger chains see a hike
Dining out is often one of the first areas of discretionary spend households look to reduce when their finances are stretched. With interest rates still at a high threshold, disposable incomes are still being spread thin for many.
It is with this backdrop that the number of transactions within casual dining restaurants has dropped 13% year-on-year. This followed a small 2% growth in transactions between 2022 and 2023.
However, despite the decline in trips to restaurants this year, consumers who are eating out are spending 7% more per transaction compared with the same time period in 2023. This is likely as a result of inflation hiking prices, increasing the average spend per transaction. Overall, casual dining has seen a 7% decline in total spend by consumers.
As purse-strings continue to tighten, upscale dining has seen a significant decline of 11% relating to trips to restaurants. With consumers clearly being more cost conscious than in recent memory, many appear to have reduced visits to more upscale restaurants in a bid to save money.
On the flip-side, burger chains – such as Honest Burger, Patty & Bun and Byron – have seen a massive 17% hike in transaction volume in the last 12 months. This has coincided with a 6% growth in the amount spent per transaction on average, contributing to an overall 12% growth in spend in burger chains this year.
The reasons behind this could vary, numerous establishments have launched their own vegan and healthier-option burgers and menus, for example, as well as the restaurants potentially representing a solid ‘middle ground’ for households, or an alternative between fast-food and fine-dining.
Cardlytics analysis
The eat-in dining industry, from casual to up-market, is still being impacted by the ongoing high cost-of-living. Whether it’s more regular purchases like a quick coffee or lunch, or something more meaningful, like a celebratory meal, customer scrutiny on spend remains high.
For brands to continue to navigate this challenging economic environment, clever use of data will be instrumental. This is particularly important for brands which interact frequently with customers, such as coffee shops and quick service restaurants. For these brands, it is now important to meaningfully consider what their customer data is telling them. Which habits do their customers have? Is it a lunchtime treat every Friday? A sweet treat with their coffee as a midweek pick-me-up?
Inspecting an individual’s data to create tailored offers shows that you understand and care about giving your customers the best value for the brands on which they want to spend money . For most brands, the key will be offering introductory discounts to entice new customers , and longer-term personalised rewards to secure return visits.
Craving more? Click through here for access to our bite size infographic
Methodology
Cardlytics analysed spending trends based on its purchase intelligence data, which covers over 20 million UK bank accounts. The periods include January and February spending from the last four years (2024, 2023, 2022, 2021).
In the News
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COST OF LIVING: UK CONSUMERS CAN EXPECT TO SPEND AN EXTRA £2,000 THIS YEAR
UK consumers can expect to spend at least £2,000 more on essentials this year as the cost-of-living crisis bites, according to the latest research. The Cardlytics State of Spend report, based on the spending habits of over 24 million UK bank cards and the views of over 2,000 UK consumers, reveals that non-essential spending has taken a back seat as everyday costs are on the rise.
How Data Stole the Show at Cannes Lions 2022
Fresh off a week at the 2022 Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity, I, like many other attendees, have come home reinvigorated (and albeit jet-lagged) about how data will play a vital role in the future of advertising. Read more.
Credit Karma Introduces New Cash Back Rewards Program for Debit Consumers
Credit Karma Money is launching cash back rewards for debit card owners, which will be enabled automatically on all Money accounts. The program will be powered by Cardlytics cash back platform, whose network of 10,000 local merchants and national chains will reward customers with real cash in their account every time they make a purchase. The amount of cashback will depend on the specific arrangement the merchant has with Cardlytics. Once the purchase is made, cash is returned to the customer’s Money account instantly.